Equity Research

The Discount for Holding Shares With No Ready Market

Shares that cannot be readily sold are worth less than identical shares that can. This illiquidity discount is why private companies and restricted stakes trade below their apparent value.

↩ Looking BackPart of the 2020 to 2026 retrospective, written in July 2026. The date below marks the 2024 events this piece revisits, not when it was published, so it draws on everything known through mid 2026.
Nathan Xiang·February 27, 2024

Why Being Able to Sell Has Value

An asset that can be sold quickly, at a known price, whenever the owner wishes, is worth more than an otherwise identical asset that cannot. The ability to convert an investment into cash on demand, its liquidity, is valuable, and its absence is a real cost that reduces value.

The illiquidity discount is the reduction in value applied to an asset that cannot be readily sold. It is why a stake in a private company, or shares subject to selling restrictions, is worth less than the same economic interest in a freely traded public stock.

Two claims on the same profits can be worth different amounts if one can be sold this afternoon and the other cannot be sold for years. The freedom to exit is itself worth paying for.

Why Illiquidity Costs Money

The inability to sell imposes several real costs on the owner.

Cost of illiquidityEffect
Cannot exit when neededTrapped if cash is required
Cannot react to newsStuck if the outlook worsens
No known market priceUncertainty about what it is worth
Harder and costlier to sellFinding a buyer takes time and expense

An owner who cannot sell is exposed to needing cash and being unable to raise it, to watching the investment deteriorate without being able to exit, and to the cost and difficulty of eventually finding a buyer. These are genuine disadvantages compared to a liquid asset, and the discount compensates for them.

Where It Applies

The illiquidity discount appears wherever an interest cannot be freely traded. Private company shares are the clearest case, since there is no market to sell them on, and an owner wanting to exit must find a buyer, negotiate a price, and complete a sale that can take months.

It also applies to restricted shares, public stock that cannot be sold for a period, and to minority stakes in private businesses, which combine illiquidity with lack of control. Any asset without a ready market, from real estate to a stake in a partnership, carries some illiquidity discount relative to a comparable liquid investment.

The Size of the Discount

How large the discount should be is genuinely difficult to determine, and it is one of the more contested areas of valuation. Studies attempting to measure it, by comparing restricted shares to their freely traded equivalents, or looking at prices in private transactions, have produced a wide range of estimates.

The discount depends on how illiquid the asset really is, how long the owner is likely to be locked in, and how much demand exists from potential buyers. A stake that could be sold with some effort carries a smaller discount than one with no realistic buyer for years. Because the right figure is uncertain, the illiquidity discount is often a point of dispute in valuing private companies, particularly in tax and legal contexts where a valuation must be defended.

The Private Company Problem

Valuing a private company brings the illiquidity discount together with other adjustments. A private business is valued partly by reference to comparable public companies, but those comparisons must then be adjusted, because the private company shares cannot be traded the way the public ones can.

The valuation typically starts from what the company would be worth if public and liquid, then subtracts a discount for the illiquidity, and possibly a further discount if the stake being valued is a non controlling minority interest. Layering these discounts is how a private company minority stake ends up valued well below its proportional share of the company underlying worth, reflecting both that it cannot be sold and that it cannot control the business.

Why It Matters

The illiquidity discount matters because ignoring it overstates the value of anything that cannot be readily sold. An investor treating a private company stake as worth the same as a comparable public holding is overvaluing it, since they cannot exit as a public shareholder could.

It also explains why liquidity itself is valued in markets, why investors accept lower returns on liquid assets and demand higher returns on illiquid ones as compensation, the liquidity premium. The discount on the illiquid asset and the extra return demanded for holding it are the same thing seen from different angles, both reflecting that the freedom to sell has real worth.

The Bottom Line

An asset that cannot be readily sold is worth less than an identical liquid one, and the illiquidity discount captures that reduced value. It applies to private company shares, restricted stock, and any interest without a ready market, compensating for being unable to exit when needed. The size of the discount is genuinely uncertain and often disputed, and valuing a private company means starting from a comparable public value and subtracting discounts for both illiquidity and, for minority stakes, the lack of control.

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