Equity Research

Buying Good Companies and Waiting

The quality factor holds that profitable, stable, well run companies earn better returns over time. It sounds obvious and it works for a reason that is less obvious than it appears.

↩ Looking BackPart of the 2020 to 2026 retrospective, written in July 2026. The date below marks the 2021 events this piece revisits, not when it was published, so it draws on everything known through mid 2026.
Nathan Xiang·March 22, 2021

The Factor That Sounds Too Simple

Investment research has identified several factors, characteristics that have historically predicted higher returns across large groups of stocks. Value, buying cheap stocks, is the most famous. Quality is another: buying companies that are highly profitable, financially stable and well managed.

Quality sounds like plain common sense. Of course good companies are better investments than bad ones. But as an investment factor, the claim is more specific and more surprising: buying quality companies has earned better risk adjusted returns than the market, which means the market does not fully price quality in.

Everyone agrees good companies are better than bad ones. The factor claim is that the market does not charge enough extra for the good ones, which is why buying them pays.

What Quality Means

Quality is measured through characteristics that indicate a durable, well run business.

DimensionSignal
ProfitabilityHigh and stable returns on capital
Financial strengthLow debt, strong balance sheet
Earnings stabilityConsistent, not erratic, profits
Capital disciplineSensible investment and payout

These combine into a picture of a company that earns strong returns reliably, does not depend on excessive debt, and is managed to sustain that over time. The factor buys such companies and avoids their opposites: unprofitable, indebted, erratic businesses.

Why It Should Not Work

The puzzle is the same as with any factor. If quality companies are obviously better, investors should pay a premium for them large enough that their future returns are no better than average. The quality of the business would be fully reflected in a high price, leaving no excess return.

That quality has nonetheless earned excess returns means the market systematically underpays for it. The explanation is that investors underappreciate durability. They are drawn to exciting growth stories and cheap turnaround situations, and they undervalue the boring reliability of a consistently excellent business, which is worth more than its price reflects because its quality persists longer than the market expects.

The Persistence Investors Miss

The deeper reason quality works is that high profitability tends to persist longer than investors assume. The market expects strong returns on capital to be competed away quickly, as economic theory suggests they should be. In practice, genuinely high quality companies sustain their advantages, through brands, network effects, scale or culture, for far longer than expected.

An investor who recognises that a quality company excellence will persist, while the market prices in its erosion, captures the difference as the company keeps delivering. The factor works because durability is systematically underestimated, and the best businesses stay excellent long enough to reward those who paid for boring reliability.

The Combination With Value

Quality is particularly powerful combined with value. Buying cheap stocks alone, pure value, sometimes means buying genuinely troubled companies that are cheap for good reason, the so called value traps. Adding a quality screen avoids the worst of these, buying companies that are both good and reasonably priced.

The pairing addresses each factor weakness: value avoids overpaying, quality avoids buying junk. Buying good companies at fair prices, the essence of combining the two, is close to what the most successful long term investors describe as their approach, which is not a coincidence.

The Caveats

Quality is not a free lunch. Quality companies can become overpriced when investors crowd into them seeking safety, at which point paying too much for quality erodes the return. The factor also tends to underperform in sharp recoveries, when the riskiest, lowest quality companies bounce hardest off a bottom.

And quality is harder to define than value, which relies on clear price ratios. Measuring profitability, stability and management quality involves judgement, and different definitions produce different results, which makes the factor less mechanical than it appears.

The Bottom Line

The quality factor buys profitable, stable, financially strong companies, and it has earned excess returns because the market systematically underpays for durability, expecting excellence to erode faster than it does. It works best combined with value, avoiding both overpriced stocks and cheap junk, which is close to how the best long term investors actually operate. Its risks are crowding, when quality becomes overpriced, and underperformance in sharp recoveries, when the lowest quality companies rebound hardest.

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